Congress
group war in Kerala with KPCC president on one side and chief minister on the
other side during party rule is nothing new. Rather it is the norm in Congress
from 1962 onward when CK Govindan Nair fought with R Sankar. Later A K Antony
fought with K Karunakaran. However fight between present KPCC president Ramesh
Chennithala and CM Oommen Chandy is different. This is because while earlier
infighting in Congress was basically factionalism linked to loyalty to
individuals, in the current in fight issues related to representation of
various religions in the cabinet play the key role.
Their cold
war in Congress Kerala unit erupted as open fight yesterday (May 22) when
Chennithala in an interview to Indian Express said Chandy can now have his own
way. Though he denied having given an official interview later, the issue
remains and it is likely that only Congress high command can bring both leaders
together now.
Reasons for current infighting
The main
issue in Congress at present is imbalances in power sharing among party leaders
belonging to Hindus, Muslims and Christians. The present fight for key
positions in Congress has its roots in a power struggle which began in Congress
Kerala unit around two decades ago in which communal forces also played a key
role. As a result of that fight, in1992, K Karunakaran was forced to resign as
Kerala chief minister. There had been allegations that majority community had
been sidelined following Karunakaran’s resignation. After Karunakaran, both
chief ministers of Congress A.K Antony and Oommen Chandy have been from
Christian community.
Recently
Major Hindu organizations in Kerala Nair Service Society (NSS) and SNDP yogam
of Ezhava Community had publicized their opinion that minority communities
(Read Muslims and Christians) are controlling power in the state and Majority
Community has been sidelined. Afterwards, they said they had bargained for a key
post for Ramesh Chennithala in Kerala ministry before election. They added that
Oommen Chandy had violated an agreement they made with Congress central
leadership that Ramesh will be given a key post.
It was in
this backdrop that leaders owing allegiance to Chandy recently met Chennithala
and expressed Chandy’s willingness to include Chennithala in the cabinet.
However this seemed to be a clever move with Chennithala being lured to take an
unimportant portfolio. While those who support Chennithala demand that he be
given an important portfolio like Home in the ministry, Oommen Chandy seems to
be strictly against it. Chandy had divested home portfolio which he was holding
a few months back and had appointed his confidante Thiruvanchoor Radhakrishnan
as home minister.
Chennithala’s dilemma
It seems
that Chennithala has realized that if he goes for an unimportant position in
ministry he will later lose all clout, similar to what happened to former KPCC
president K Muraleedharan. Muraleedharan resigned KPCC president post and
contested in election when he was offered power minister post. However he
couldn’t even win election then as a section of Congress leaders rigged his
campaign. Now he is just an MLA. Chennithala has realized that the same may
apply to him also and stated that he will continue as KPCC president which will
force Congress leadership to intervene.
Even though
NSS and SNDP supported Chennithala, the latter distanced from them publicly.
This could have been Chennithala’s own strategy for a secular image or he might
have been forced to do so by his opponents in party. Anyway, it means now he
doesn’t have support of community. Now his opponents can handle him easily.
Those
Congressmen who ditched Karunakaran earlier are now playing the same game at
Chennithala also. They will up the pressure using community and media to put
all blame on Chennithala for any setback of Congress and ensure that he won’t
get any position of importance in future. Attitude of his opponents show they
are not even willing to make him number two. Chennithala’s future depends on
his own fighting skills and ability to force high command to intervene and give
him home portfolio. Anything less will be a defeat for him.
Consequences of Congress group fight
While earlier
Congress groups used to declare cease fire in faction wars when high command
intervened, now even if leaders end fight cadres and sympathizers won’t. The
Pandora’s box has already been opened. Meanwhile NSS leadership after directly
attacking Chandy for the plight of Congress said they don’t have any love lost
for Chennithala too. If NSS and SNDP stick to their opinion that they won’t
have any relation to Congress in the coming days, then Chennithala’s crisis in
Congress plus NSS and SNDP stand would further alienate majority community from
Congress. It is likely that Congress will feel the impact in coming Lok Sabha
election.
Middle level
leaders of Congress belonging to Hindu community are likely to complain of
neglect. Example of Karunakaran would force many to accept this view. While it
is unlikely that those who distance from Congress leadership may vote for CPM,
one cannot dismiss possibility of their coming close to BJP if BJP works
properly among them.